Each year, the COLA rate is determined by the SSA by looking over the inflation trend and comparing it with the previous years. More precisely, the SSA checks the most important factor, which is the CPI-W. This segment compares data from 2 years of data of the 3rd quarter is data from current and previous years. Now the SSA is waiting for the inflation data of September. As soon as the data is received, the next year’s COLA will be calculated and released to the public of America.

Why 15th October is chosen for announcing the COLA 2026
As the calculation would require many considerations, the SSA will take up the whole of September to carefully analyze the country’s situation and what impact it will have on the benefits amount and the beneficiaries. The most expected date of the official announcement is predicted around mid-October.
Impact of COLA increase on benefits
Increased cola will impact the overall benefits of all the beneficiaries. For employers who deal with the salary structure of the employees or HR professionals, the change will impact salary structure raises as well as the retirement fund.

Impact on Retirees and the Future Retirees
The cola rate will majorly impact the seniors of the country, as most of them have only one source of income, and after retirement, they lose that too. Those who solely depend on the monthly benefit will be the most benefited from the increased COLA. Increased COLA means the monthly amount will be increased, and with the extra money, seniors could cover their daily expenses like food, groceries, and utility bills.
Impact on Employers
Employers will set their salary structure according to the COLA as they will plan the compensation and benefits of their employees for the upcoming years. Similar to the purpose of COLA, that is to match inflation, employers will also look over the bonuses and raises accordingly so that they match the cost of living in the country.

Current estimation of 2026 COLA
Recently, there were some predictions made by economists and analysts about the COLA for 2026. The predictions were based on the inflation trend of June 2025. The highest prediction was made by Mary Johnson, who said if the inflation trend continues, then there might be a chance that the COLA for next year could go up to 2.7%. Still, it is better to wait for the official announcement from the SSA that will be made by the 15th of October 2025.
How to Prepare for the Update?
If a person solely depends on the benefits of social security for covering expenses, one should consider these important points and plan shahid of the update. Below are the steps that one should take before the official announcement made in October.

- Follow the monthly inflation update. This will give a brief idea as to how much he can increase.
- Visit your social security account or check your mail. Most of the time, the SSA posts the COLA update to its beneficiaries
- Do not fall for any misinformation and scams. The department would never call, text, or even email for your banking information. If anyone pretends and asks about these things, make sure to note down the caller ID and press charges against it.
Final Thoughts
Millions of people are waiting for the upcoming COLA increase for the next year in America. Until the official rate is announced, make sure not to incur any heavy expenses and try to save as much as possible. Although according to the prediction, it seems that the COLA would be higher than the current year but nothing is promised. Do not engage with any scammers and only believe the information posted on the official sites.
